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Following the loss to Michigan, the Spartans' path to a repeat has narrowed

Michigan State is now a longshot to repeat as Big Ten Champions, but a path to glory still exists as long as Izzo can right the ship quickly

By Paul Fanson (Dr. Green and White)
Published on February 2, 2026

Friday night in East Lansing was not the kind of evening that fans of the Michigan State Spartans were hoping for. 

Michigan State came out of the gate surprisingly tight while the visiting Michigan Wolverines were surprisingly poised. A bizarre sequence in the final minutes of the first half was triggered by a controversial hook-and-hold call on Cam Ward. This call catalyzed an 8-0 Michigan run that put the Spartans in an 18-point hole in the blink of an eye.

MSU managed to storm back in the second half and even briefly take the lead, but the damage done in the first half was too much to over come. The Spartans clearly ran out of gas in the final five minutes as the Wolverines secured a double-digit victory at the Breslin Center.

Broadly, a look at the stats sheet shows that the two teams were even in a remarkable number of areas. Turnovers, rebounds, free throws, and even two-point shooting all essentially cancelled out. 

But the one area where Michigan carved out a significant advantage was three point shooting. The Spartans shot just 4-23 (17.4%) from deep while Michigan was 8-for-21 (38%). That was the difference in the game.

From the broader view of the Big Ten race, this weekend also featured another key game. On Sunday afternoon, Illinois traveled to Lincoln and avenged the Dec. 13 loss to Nebraska in Champaign. 

Table 1 below gives the updated enhanced Big Ten standings as of Monday, Feb. 2.

Table 1: Enhanced Big Ten standings through Feb. 2, 2026.

Illinois has moved into a tie for first place with Michigan at 10-1. Notably, Illinois has one more road win than Michigan and also has the stronger conference strength of resume (+3.93 versus +3.40).

Michigan State is now tied for third place with Nebraska at 9-2. Note here that Nebraska is the team with more road wins and a stronger strength of resume (+4.09 versus +2.55).

Purdue and Wisconsin are both a game back at 8-3. UCLA and Iowa both have four conference losses.

The updated Big Ten wins matrix is shown below in Table 2.

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